Mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa ABS kwa theka lachiwiri la chaka

Mu theka loyamba la 2022, mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine unayambika kumapeto kwa February, Kumadzulo kunapitirizabe kuyika zilango ku Russia, nkhawa za chiwopsezo chopereka chiwongoladzanja chinapitirizabe kuwonjezeka, ndipo mbali yopereka katunduyo ikupitirizabe kuyembekezera.Kumbali yofunidwa, kuyambika kwaulendo wachilimwe ku United States, kufunikira kwamafuta kukupitilirabe bwino, ndipo kusokoneza kwa mliri pakufunika kwachepa kwambiri, kotero mtengo udawonetsa kukwera kwakukulu mu 2021, ndipo Brent adayimilira. olimba pa $100 chizindikiro.

1. Zolosera za styrene:

Mu theka lachiwiri la 2022, pali kuthekera kwakukulu kuti mkangano wa Russia-Ukraine utembenuka kapena utha, ndipo thandizo lazandale likhoza kufowoka.OPEC ikhoza kusunga njira yake yowonjezeretsa zotuluka, kapena ngakhale kuletsa ina;Bungwe la Federal Reserve lidzapitiriza kukweza chiwongoladzanja cha chiwongoladzanja mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, pakati pa mantha akugwa kwachuma;Palinso mwayi woti Iran idzakwezedwa mu theka lachiwiri la chaka chino.Chifukwa chake, mu theka lachiwiri la 2022, makamaka m'nyengo yophukira, tiyenera kusamala kuti ziwopsezo zikuchuluke.Kuchokera pamalingaliro a theka lachiwiri la 2022, malo onse amitengo yokoka atha kutsika.

2.Butadiene kulosera

Mu theka lachiwiri la 2022, mphamvu yopanga butadiene idakula pang'onopang'ono, ndipo zinthu za geopolitical pang'onopang'ono zinazimiririka, palibe kusowa kwa malo oti mitengo yamtengo wapatali igwe, kuthandizira kwamitengo kunazimiririka, zomwe zimakhudza ntchito ya mbali ya butadiene ndi yofooka.Ngakhale kuti pali ndondomeko zoyendetsera ndalama zomwe zisanachitikepo pamtengo wofunikira, ambiri a iwo amachokera ku butadiene kunsi kwa mtsinje wofananira, ndipo amakhudzidwa ndi momwe phindu likuyendera, nthawi yopangira ndi mlingo wa kutulutsidwa kwapangidwe ndizosatsimikizika.Potengera zofunikira zoyambira komanso zofunikira komanso zinthu zazikulu, mtengo wa butadiene ukuyembekezeka kutsika mu theka lachiwiri la 2022, ndipo kugwedezeka kwakukulu kudzatsika pansi pa 10,000 yuan.

3. Acrylonitrile forecast

Mu theka lachiwiri la 2022, padzakhalabe matani 590,000 a mphamvu zatsopano za acrylonitrile zomwe zikukonzekera kuti zipangidwe, makamaka mu gawo lachinayi.Kuchulukitsa kwamakampaniwo kudzapitilirabe pamsika mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, ndipo mtengo udzakhalabe wotsika komanso wosasunthika, womwe ukuyembekezeka kuyenda mozungulira mtengo.Pakati pawo, gawo lachitatu likuyembekezeredwa kukhala ndi kubwezeredwa pang'ono pambuyo pa kutsika kwa mtengo, makamaka chifukwa cha kukakamizidwa kwa mtengo kuyambira August mpaka October akuyembekezeka kuonjezera kukonza kwa zipangizo zapakhomo ndi zakunja, kuti athetse vutoli.Komabe, kutulutsidwa kwa mphamvu zatsopano zopangira, zinthu zochulukirapo zidzakulitsidwanso, mitengo ya acrylonitrile ikuyembekezeka kupitiliza kutsika mtengo.Mtengo wa acrylonitrile mu theka lachiwiri la chaka ukuyembekezeka kusinthasintha pakati pa 10000-11000 yuan/ton.